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Commercial Construction Index

Issue 3
FIRST QUARTER 2013


Nonresidential Construction
Recovery Restrained by Public Funding
The U.S. economy outperformed expectations during the first quarter, led by a combination of rising stock prices and household wealth, an improving housing market, steady auto sales and engaged consumers. Admittedly, expectations coming into the quarter were low given increased taxes and what turned out to be legitimate concerns regarding sequestration. According to preliminary estimates, the economy expanded 2.5 percent on an annualized basis during 2013’s initial three months, much better than the 0.4 percent annualized growth posted during 2012’s final quarter.




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Nonresidential Construction Recovery Restrained by Public Funding 1

Joe’s View - Insights from Marcum’s National Construction Industry
Group Leader
2

Exhibit 1. Nonresidential Construction Spending, January 2009 through
March 2013 - GRAPH
2

Exhibit 2. Construction Employment Growth in 20 Largest US
Metropolitan Areas, March 2013 v. March 2012 - CHART
3

First Quarter 2013 Performance - CHART 4


Issue 2
FOURTH QUARTER 2012


Nonresidential Construction
Sector Flat in Fourth Quarter
The combination of electoral uncertainty, fears of a fall off the fiscal cliff, a sharp decline in defense outlays and negative adjustments to inventory produced a shrinking U.S. economy during last year’s final quarter. Real gross domestic product decreased 0.1 percent at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in the fourth quarter, ending a growth streak for the U.S. economy that spanned 13 quarters. Overall annual economic growth tallied 2.2 percent in 2012, following a 1.8 percent annual increase in 2011.




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Nonresidential Construction Sector Flat in the Fourth Quarter 1

Joe’s View - Insight’s from Marcum’s National Construction Industry Group Leader 2

Exhibit 1. Monthly Nonresidential Construction Employment, January 2009 through December 2012 - GRAPH 2

Exhibit 2. Architecture Billings Index, December 2007 through December 2012 - GRAPH 2

Fourth Quarter 2012 Performance - CHART 3


Issue 1
THIRD QUARTER 2012


Nonresidential Construction’s
Recovery Has Stalled
During the third quarter of 2012, the U.S. economy expanded for a 13th consecutive quarter. Unfortunately, nonresidential construction has not been among the economic segments experiencing meaningful recovery. While the broader economy expanded at a 2 percent annualized rate during the third quarter, due in part to ongoing consumer spending growth, nonresidential investment declined 4.4 percent on an annualized basis following a modest 0.3 percent gain during the second.




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Nonresidential Construction's Recovery Has Stalled 1

Joe’s View - Insight’s from Marcum’s National Construction Industry Group Leader 2

Exhibit 1. Monthly Nonresidential Construction Spending Growth, October 2009 through September 2012 - GRAPH 2

Exhibit 2. Architecture Billings Index, December 2007 through September 2012 - GRAPH 2

Third Quarter 2012 Performance - CHART 3

 


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